Heres a rundown of the nominees in the major movie categories.

(Also, check out Ken Tuckers reaction to the TV noms.)

Id sayButtonis the one to beat.

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To my surprise, it wasClint Eastwood.

At least he got two nominations in the music categories.

Any of these five guys could win.

I actually think they made the right call with these five.

Its Meryl vs. Kate for the win.

But the HFPA created an interesting list of hits (Mamma Mia!)

and deserving indies (In Bruges).

Im thinkingVickytakes it home.

I was worried this race would seem like filler this year, but it really doesnt.

Give the edge to Hoffman.

This ones between Hawkins and Streep, and I think the plucky Brit could win.

Downey forTropic Thunder, sure.

OverRevolutionary Roads unforgettable Michael Shannon and any of theMilkguys?

The HFPAs love of big stars got the better of them here.

Its a Hoffman/Ledger rematch at this point.

Cruz and Winslet seem like the frontrunners.

Well, in a tight race, personality matters.

My moneys on Fincher or Boyle.

addCredit(Merrick Morton)